Nope, plug-in electric cars *are* the future

Sunday, May 31, 2009


Here's a good example of an editorial arguing against plug-in electric cars that may seem like it is making a reasoned argument against them, but in fact misses the mark in quite a few areas. Let's take a look at the argument point by point:

1) Plug-in electrics are inconvenient: a plug-in can only go a few hundred kms before it must be recharged, whereas gasoline-powered cars have a virtually unlimited range as long as you keep on filling it up with gas. This misses the point on two areas: a) it's a bit of a stretch to say that plugging in one's car at home is more inconvenient than filling up at a gas station. It certainly takes longer, but the time spent charging is done when you are at home and are likely busy with other things, so the only inconvenience involved is the effort required to put the plug in - not that big a problem. The issue about range is also solved with a car like the Chevrolet Volt, which uses electricity at first, and eventually switches to a gasoline-powered battery recharger after about 60 km, guaranteeing the same range as a gasoline-powered car. In short, those that expect to drive only up to a few hundred km a day can go with something like Tesla/Think/etc. while those that want a car that can still do a road trip can go with the Chevrolet Volt.

2) Electric cars simply divert the environmental impact: this is a myth that just won't seem to die. Sure, electricity does have to be created from other sources, but even when electricity is produced entirely from coal the environmental impact is much smaller than with gasoline. This is a very important point. Adding to this, electricity does not necessarily need to be made from coal - many countries use hydro (Norway), geothermal (Iceland), nuclear (France), wind (Denmark), and various other sources to make electricity. Also, once cars have moved over to the electricity grid it becomes much easier to change them into completely zero-emissions vehicles, because it only requires a change to the source of electricity, rather than a retooling of the car itself. Finally, since pollution from power plants is usually created outside urban areas (where most people live), the health benefits are enormous. No more breathing in car exhaust when walking down the street.

Finally, one more point: battery technology continues to develop, and with this comes greater and greater range. Tesla's S Sedan will have a range of almost 500 km, which is good enough not only for commuting, but also for a small road trip to one city and back. Add a recharge in the city (let's say you have a business meeting there - go to the city, plug it in, finish the meeting a few hours later, get back in the recharged car and go home) and you can easily make a city 400 km away. Already the only thing you can't do with this car is a marathon road trip. Eventually the range of an electric car will reach such a high level that there will be no reason whatsoever to stick with gasoline. Saying that electric cars aren't the future because they have a limited range is like saying that computers aren't the future (in 1990) because hard drives can only store a few megabytes of data.

----


In other news, there's a blog here by the first driver to try out the Mini-E (the electric Mini Cooper). Definitely keep an eye on that. The Mini Cooper is my favourite gasoline-powered car, so if it goes electric then I'll definitely want one of my own.

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Hunt for Gollum with subtitles in Sambahsa

On May 9th I put up a post about how the Hunt for Gollum had been translated into Sambahsa, but though the subtitles were 95% complete the format was a bit of a mess, with the video cut up into 16 parts, a lot of frozen frames here and there, and an annoying banner ad below for the software used to cut the video into smaller parts.

Two days ago I began to upload a better version of the video, in four parts now instead of sixteen, and with subtitles as an .srt file instead of just using YouTube's annotations feature. As you can see below, the end result is much better, and now you can enjoy the film at the same time as you read the Sambahsa translation.










Edit: Just in case you want to watch the whole movie at once on your own player, I've included the subtitles as a single file below. Just copy this text, paste it into anything (Wordpad for example) and save it as an .srt file, and that will be the subtitles. And to download the movie, just click here and choose whether you want an flv or mp4 file. If your media player doesn't play these files correctly and you can't figure out how to install the codecs then try using GOM Player (that's the only media player I use).


1
00:00:35,940 --> 00:00:42,710
Ye id end ios Trit Aiwios, Medioghehrd eet un land waurct ab Temos

2
00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:50,040
I leuds ios Nordrig eent diaspohrn, i descendants iom Roys myohrsen

3
00:00:50,180 --> 00:00:53,720
Reducti do Marjbans wandernd in wakhschat

4
00:00:57,970 --> 00:01:03,150
Bet Mordors temos sa-spiend uper vasya lands ed sa-gohn megil ed terrible wakyas

5
00:01:03,150 --> 00:01:06,420
ed sa-gohn megil ed terrible wakyas

6
00:01:07,820 --> 00:01:12,160
ob id lusen Maghring hieb resbudt

7
00:01:14,140 --> 00:01:17,640
ids khiter mayster Sauron eet paurskend id

8
00:01:18,860 --> 00:01:21,920
Id Oin Ringo kay rules vasyens.

9
00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:29,490
Pon penk cent yars, id hieb manen exter eys vid ed trans eyso schaecheing

10
00:01:31,900 --> 00:01:35,310
bet eet alyo quischi pieursk id Ring

11
00:01:37,020 --> 00:01:41,960
un creature, qui hieb diu kuzden id deub sub ia ghyors

12
00:01:43,070 --> 00:01:46,610
ed qui hieb esen consumen ab ids khitert

13
00:01:47,970 --> 00:01:52,460
Eys kerd languicit de quo is hieb lust

14
00:01:53,340 --> 00:01:56,910
ed de haines dia iom fur qui hieb lambht id:

15
00:01:57,610 --> 00:02:00,650
Bilbo Baggins

16
00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,620
Ies Marjbans hant doublen ir wakht sekwent vies bereulens.

17
00:03:04,530 --> 00:03:06,030
Est id dar salv?

18
00:03:06,140 --> 00:03:06,940
Ya,

19
00:03:07,380 --> 00:03:09,220
pro id present tid.

20
00:03:17,700 --> 00:03:21,810
Is Peind ne bad gnoht od id Ring hat esen trohven.

21
00:03:21,890 --> 00:03:22,850
Baygh gohd!

22
00:03:22,990 --> 00:03:25,070
Toghi est complexer.

23
00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:27,500
Ho kwohrt un grave error.

24
00:03:27,970 --> 00:03:30,350
Ho neglegen semject important,

25
00:03:30,450 --> 00:03:32,180
semjec' dangereus.

26
00:03:33,850 --> 00:03:37,120
Concernt iom prever suter ios Ring.

27
00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:39,040
Gollum.

28
00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:43,290
Kam is hat gwohm' do id, ne gnohm.

29
00:03:43,610 --> 00:03:45,330
Bet est katel-ye protective dia te,

30
00:03:45,410 --> 00:03:50,940
ed nun, hat likwt sien balma, is mehnt tik de recuper id.

31
00:03:51,650 --> 00:03:53,930
Ne Gollum gnoht de to, Gandalf?

32
00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,200
Is gnoht quer id Ring wehst?

33
00:03:59,630 --> 00:04:00,550
Ya.

34
00:04:01,860 --> 00:04:05,000
Way, nies secret ne est diuter salv,

35
00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,480
Is akmak Hobbit hat revelen sien nam

36
00:04:09,910 --> 00:04:11,840
Id habiet tohrpt ses destrungen.

37
00:04:12,170 --> 00:04:13,770
Bet id ne buit.

38
00:04:16,350 --> 00:04:17,800
Io siem gwahe.

39
00:04:19,300 --> 00:04:20,890
Io siem trehve iom.

40
00:04:23,290 --> 00:04:24,890
Dank, Aragorn.

41
00:04:26,470 --> 00:04:28,410
Id itner niet ses facil.

42
00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:32,260
Bet tu has id previd tiens folk.

43
00:04:33,050 --> 00:04:34,730
Sei khacs trehve iom,

44
00:04:36,300 --> 00:04:37,740
tun niemen ghehdt.

45
00:04:46,170 --> 00:04:47,080
Elendil.

46
00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:48,520
Atav.

47
00:04:49,430 --> 00:04:51,370
Id future mi est kohlt.

48
00:04:52,290 --> 00:04:55,200
Dah mi nerce kun id tid gwehmsiet.

49
00:05:27,310 --> 00:05:30,320
Tu es Elendils hered.

50
00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:36,490
Mien prient, boi gwehmt.

51
00:05:47,940 --> 00:05:53,580
Medioghehrd khacsiet diu resiste id magho quod nun crehsct in id Eust.

52
00:05:56,090 --> 00:05:59,240
Smos ye id predien uns nov Aiwo,

53
00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,610
quod maghiet habe neid auror.

54
00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:14,750
Quel gnoht quetro is hat rept unte ta long yars?

55
00:07:16,020 --> 00:07:21,620
Ed kam un tem smulko creature hat gwohm' do riske ia spehs tanten?

56
00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:14,200
Kwe tien nam ed tien eiskwa?

57
00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:18,600
Som un Marjban os Arnor. Kassamo allegence ibs Septe Stars ed Septa Petras...

58
00:08:19,900 --> 00:08:21,470
Ed ei wahid Albh Dru.

59
00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:27,050
Es baygh dalg ud Arnor, Marjban

60
00:08:27,370 --> 00:08:30,490
Ed swehrs id passwerd im Dunedain, lakin ne te gnohm.

61
00:08:31,510 --> 00:08:35,090
Som Arathir Argonathenson.

62
00:08:35,970 --> 00:08:38,050
Yist kay sammel khabars de id Eust.

63
00:08:38,350 --> 00:08:40,310
Tun smos piern kerabs.

64
00:08:42,590 --> 00:08:43,690
Som Mierstieups.

65
00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:46,380
Ho klut de tien nam,

66
00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:48,730
prient.

67
00:08:51,860 --> 00:08:54,500
Ta lands nient ses salv meg diuter.

68
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:59,590
Orks kwehrnt raids ep ia oupers ios Anduin, plundernd ia villages nocts.

69
00:09:00,750 --> 00:09:03,570
Mox sessient hatta ep tod gon iom ghyors

70
00:09:07,490 --> 00:09:11,170
I slougs ios Peind se multiplient menxu eys nerce auct.

71
00:09:12,340 --> 00:09:14,720
Way, smos nun pior pauk in noster gent.

72
00:09:15,500 --> 00:09:17,100
Kay safers tu?

73
00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:22,470
Io traque un creature, un genis spion. Smulk, bet mahir.

74
00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:25,220
un genis spion,

75
00:09:26,500 --> 00:09:28,330
Smulk,

76
00:09:28,770 --> 00:09:30,260
bet mahir.

77
00:09:32,410 --> 00:09:34,840
Ho vis nov orkisk irks, bet

78
00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:37,870
crehscent in wure ed nerce; ne schrehnkent.

79
00:09:38,050 --> 00:09:39,650
Ne est un Ork.

80
00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,350
Eys ighnos est kam tod un Hobbit.

81
00:09:44,550 --> 00:09:47,060
Is ne dehlct falle do badkhoua hands.

82
00:09:48,430 --> 00:09:50,380
Kad to est aun ahammiyat, bet

83
00:09:51,790 --> 00:09:53,420
ho auren rumors,

84
00:09:54,550 --> 00:09:56,620
susurens uns aunnam paur.

85
00:09:57,950 --> 00:10:01,350
In ia apank villages, bahnt de un kabus quel poht sehrg,

86
00:10:02,210 --> 00:10:06,900
de un horror tupen in drus quel lambhent i magvens swehpend in ir vienke,

87
00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:09,500
un fresch pisk per un ghyanen fenster.

88
00:10:09,940 --> 00:10:13,010
I villagers perandame ir dwers protiev id temos.

89
00:10:14,220 --> 00:10:16,010
Quer has tu aurt to?

90
00:10:16,620 --> 00:10:17,990
In Ithilien,

91
00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,820
bet hoschi aurt rumors tiel tem dalg quem id kenar os Deusklays.

92
00:10:47,170 --> 00:10:48,010
Oi!

93
00:11:34,380 --> 00:11:36,940
Sei vols gnohe, yeji me est un fals alarme.

94
00:11:37,070 --> 00:11:41,060
Sont neter ighnos, ni jenchi-mensc.

95
00:11:41,140 --> 00:11:42,700
Golblok sayc' est un probleme

96
00:11:42,770 --> 00:11:45,330
tun kau sons' gnohs quod te skehp

97
00:11:45,710 --> 00:11:46,940
Goblok!

98
00:11:47,470 --> 00:11:50,010
Goblok est tik schakhtmiems,

99
00:11:50,230 --> 00:11:52,550
buland ed stupid.

100
00:11:53,300 --> 00:11:55,290
Tehrbiemos nos prepare pro id weir!

101
00:11:55,330 --> 00:11:57,220
Myehrs tod stehnkend raid!

102
00:11:57,220 --> 00:11:59,600
War Goblok! Ne est tik miems!

103
00:11:59,650 --> 00:12:02,080
Miems! Volo fresch miems!

104
00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,620
Mien inster heult ob hungher!

105
00:12:04,680 --> 00:12:06,770
Est semjec' gustic in id ihatta!

106
00:12:07,020 --> 00:12:08,440
Ghehdo nuses id!

107
00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:11,050
Nos trehfsiemos un jamile jucic villager.

108
00:12:11,050 --> 00:12:14,050
Nun stop tien gyapen, sons' behncsiem tien coll, tu lagar rat!

109
00:12:14,050 --> 00:12:15,790
Kamiem te vide pites!

110
00:12:15,790 --> 00:12:18,040
Yu mier cacavan craniums son' quant i sams!

111
00:12:18,140 --> 00:12:20,800
Quant in nas ed neid intelligence!

112
00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:22,230
Kafi!

113
00:12:22,450 --> 00:12:23,810
Bell peiten!

114
00:12:23,810 --> 00:12:25,590
Nun retro!

115
00:12:29,990 --> 00:12:31,020
Quod eet tod?

116
00:12:31,050 --> 00:12:32,430
Io tib hieb sayct od eet ject!

117
00:12:32,430 --> 00:12:33,890
Scha tu torlak!

118
00:12:51,420 --> 00:12:52,580
Dabgash!

119
00:13:06,220 --> 00:13:08,190
Tod land ne vos bayght!

120
00:13:41,560 --> 00:13:42,860
Mien precieus!

121
00:14:18,910 --> 00:14:20,160
Stop!

122
00:14:21,370 --> 00:14:23,120
Ham poruncs!

123
00:14:24,980 --> 00:14:26,330
Trehfte iom!

124
00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:28,360
Bringhte iom mi!

125
00:14:28,460 --> 00:14:29,880
Fauran Goblok!

126
00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,540
Sdi still! Nies oiskape.

127
00:16:40,260 --> 00:16:41,780
Pretes tu?

128
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:43,780
Gollum?

129
00:16:48,210 --> 00:16:54,330
Id gnoht nies namsss!

130
00:16:56,580 --> 00:16:59,580
Ya, gnohm tien nam.

131
00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:03,830
Gwehms con me.

132
00:17:04,100 --> 00:17:05,150
Nordworts.

133
00:17:06,777 --> 00:17:10,483
Siemsss rehve idss oksss!

134
00:17:11,429 --> 00:17:15,280
Siemsss ringi idsss najisss colsss!!!

135
00:17:18,539 --> 00:17:21,046
Ne siemsss harme un muschhh...

136
00:17:21,081 --> 00:17:24,768
promittemsss siemsss meg latif!

137
00:17:27,324 --> 00:17:29,772
Lasss nosss salge...

138
00:17:29,845 --> 00:17:32,329
Lasss nosss salge!

139
00:17:38,464 --> 00:17:40,740
Gollum, tehrps mi antwehrde loyal-ye.

140
00:17:41,263 --> 00:17:43,182
Gnohm ees paurskend semject.

141
00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:44,608
Id ne kwerht to.

142
00:17:44,808 --> 00:17:45,980
Semject tu lusta.

143
00:17:46,257 --> 00:17:47,690
No!

144
00:17:49,534 --> 00:17:50,659
Un ring.

145
00:17:51,201 --> 00:17:52,554
Precieus...

146
00:17:52,458 --> 00:17:54,841
sshhhhhh!

147
00:18:01,738 --> 00:18:03,639
Niem tib kwehre gvol.

148
00:18:04,901 --> 00:18:07,021
I give you my word.

149
00:18:07,916 --> 00:18:12,688
Gwupesss precieusss werd, mien Precieusss!

150
00:18:14,053 --> 00:18:15,807
Tun mansies in id sack.

151
00:18:15,942 --> 00:18:18,847
No! Nooo!

152
00:18:18,940 --> 00:18:21,753
Sinesss noss salge!

153
00:18:31,725 --> 00:18:36,632
Nimen vidt, nimen vidt!

154
00:18:36,764 --> 00:18:41,970
Bulander quem drusss! Quantloc drusss!

155
00:18:43,763 --> 00:18:44,347
Quod?

156
00:19:28,010 --> 00:19:32,324
Quod volt id ud nosss? Precieusss?

157
00:19:34,042 --> 00:19:36,730
Isss volt id.

158
00:19:37,481 --> 00:19:41,534
Niess gnahdien hadia!

159
00:19:42,422 --> 00:19:44,420
Ne hamsss id!

160
00:19:46,538 --> 00:19:48,758
Bagginsss hat id!

161
00:19:48,822 --> 00:19:50,984
Schaaa!

162
00:19:52,769 --> 00:19:55,054
Is volt gnohe!

163
00:19:55,169 --> 00:19:56,163
No,

164
00:19:56,873 --> 00:19:57,602
Isss nosss kwehrsiet gvol!

165
00:19:57,802 --> 00:19:59,086
Kleu!

166
00:20:00,623 --> 00:20:04,900
Niem sayge ei ject!

167
00:20:08,671 --> 00:20:11,233
Eti, mien Precieusss.

168
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:16,256
Niet gwahe dalg!

169
00:20:24,903 --> 00:20:26,777
Smosss teuristic!

170
00:20:35,472 --> 00:20:37,151
Siemos rahate serter!

171
00:20:44,639 --> 00:20:46,269
Is ne spehct!

172
00:20:46,417 --> 00:20:48,851
Gwah! Gwah! Precieusss!

173
00:21:16,877 --> 00:21:18,689
Ne smos mon!

174
00:27:24,182 --> 00:27:25,326
Arwen.

175
00:27:34,186 --> 00:27:37,651
Tu es Elendils Heir.

176
00:27:38,077 --> 00:27:41,954
Tu has id nerce os tien atavia.

177
00:27:45,092 --> 00:27:45,865
ed...

178
00:27:46,914 --> 00:27:49,624
Tu has mien kerd.

179
00:28:51,255 --> 00:28:52,749
Come down Gollum!

180
00:29:00,396 --> 00:29:01,738
El gwehmt!

181
00:29:02,137 --> 00:29:03,946
El est her!

182
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:01,263
Gwehm con me!

183
00:31:01,479 --> 00:31:03,082
Hams tien creature.

184
00:31:15,121 --> 00:31:17,456
Precieus!

185
00:31:19,731 --> 00:31:22,626
Grafia! Id Grafia!

186
00:31:22,932 --> 00:31:24,260
Baggins!

187
00:31:33,616 --> 00:31:35,186
Quod habte yu matht?

188
00:31:37,380 --> 00:31:41,838
Is creature est miskin, perischan...

189
00:31:44,277 --> 00:31:48,759
Bet nun gnohm kam id Ring hat gwohm' do iom.

190
00:31:49,569 --> 00:31:54,285
Hat possess id diu, maung gwits os sien smulk gent...

191
00:31:55,922 --> 00:31:58,157
Neid dwoi est possible.

192
00:31:58,172 --> 00:32:05,283
Hat forsnoht' lent-ye, milio pos milium, stieup pos stieup, sudworts...

193
00:32:05,410 --> 00:32:09,184
tiel bad Mordor.

194
00:32:10,665 --> 00:32:14,336
Katha id Grafia est perodh in ia brens os nies peind?

195
00:32:15,471 --> 00:32:17,597
Dehlgmos protege id!

196
00:32:20,033 --> 00:32:22,973
Gandalf, kyehrsen reiders hant tohrt id fluv;

197
00:32:24,488 --> 00:32:27,013
Baym an i Nev hant riken.

198
00:32:29,809 --> 00:32:32,375
Tun id Ring dehlct linkwes id Grafia.

199
00:32:34,794 --> 00:32:36,847
Abdehlgo fauran.

200
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:42,798
Un skadh ios prev iter oins reict.

201
00:32:44,038 --> 00:32:49,798
Lakin, dank id capture os Gollum, gnohms id niebst mov ios peind.

202
00:32:49,863 --> 00:32:52,912
Frodo dehlct ses protegen ye cada cost!

203
00:32:54,285 --> 00:32:56,062
Yeiste iom Hobbit do Bree.

204
00:32:58,232 --> 00:33:01,232
Uperwakhsiem id Ring hina yu reicte.

205
00:33:04,361 --> 00:33:05,692
Meg dohbro.

206
00:33:09,077 --> 00:33:10,520
Ed Gollum?

207
00:33:12,234 --> 00:33:15,675
Gollums miskinia est trans nies magh.

208
00:33:16,890 --> 00:33:18,883
Niet ses aiwo leur.

209
00:33:21,761 --> 00:33:25,459
Quod hieb el in sien gepsss?

210
00:33:26,852 --> 00:33:30,839
Ne saygiem precieus... nooo...

211
00:33:32,209 --> 00:33:35,059
Skapmahir el eet...

212
00:33:37,185 --> 00:33:39,322
Lytil farebie!

213
00:33:41,486 --> 00:33:45,329
We should have squeeeezed it!

214
00:33:45,634 --> 00:33:48,961
Habiemsss torhpt waooorge el...

215
00:33:50,273 --> 00:33:52,735
Ed siemsss precieus! Siemsss!

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Iran election roundup, 30 May 2009

Thirteen days left.

The candidates:

Ahmadinejad (محمود احمدی نژاد, top left) - you all know him, he wants a second term
Rezaei (محسن رضایی, bottom left) - he's a former commander of the Revolutionary Guard, and even more of a hardliner than Ahmadinejad. His role will be to take hardliner votes away from those disappointed in Ahmadinejad.
Mousavi (میر حسین موسوی, top right) - the other main contender, he was endorsed by former president Khatami and has reformist tendencies. He was prime minister in the 1980s.
Karroubi (محدی کروبی, bottom right) - reformist, and also the only cleric running for office. Says he'll support Mousavi in the second ballot if there is a runoff. It's also possible that he might drop out earlier to support Mousavi.
Articles on the election in general:

Mousavi
Ahmadinejad
Karroubi
Rezaei

Read more...

Romanian ARCA team to send ball to the Moon


Here's a piece of news that hasn't been receiving much attention but is quite interesting; it's about a Romanian team called ARCA that competed for the Ansari X Prize in 2004. Since then Google has come out with its own prize (Google Lunar X Prize), offering $20-$30 million for a team capable of sending a craft to the surface of the Moon, moving at least 500 metres and then beaming images back from the surface. This team has an interesting proposal: first they will send a balloon up to an altitude of 18 kilometres, after which a rocket will send the craft into low-Earth orbit, after which the lunar craft will separate and make its way to the Moon and then land using its ball-like shape and some rockets to slow its descent as well.

Whether it succeeds or not, the data gathered from a balloon-based launching platform will be interesting, as this has been proposed by many others as well. CU Spaceflight for example is aiming for this as well.

Read more...

You don't need to live in a humongous house to be happy

Saturday, May 30, 2009


That's the theme of this issue's cover story for E Magazine. Perhaps the one silver lining to the real estate market crash and all the foreclosures that followed is the possibility of a rethinking of just how big houses really need to be. After about a decade in Asia (Japan + Korea) in fact, large North American houses have started to look a little bit creepy, to be honest. Friends of mine have started buying houses back home (Calgary) and more often than not a number of rooms simply go unused, especially in the basement area. I once knew a Korean family that had moved to Calgary and was renting a whole house to themselves, but they had no idea what to do with a house that size and more than half of the rooms plus the entire basement were completely empty (this was a family of four).

As for the politics behind smaller houses, I think there's a lot of common ground on both sides of the political spectrum. One side can argue that smaller houses are great because of the benefit to the environment / ease in creating public transportation, while the other can like them for their national security benefits (less energy use = less money flowing out to countries that sponsor terrorism), so it's win-win. You'll notice for example that during the last election there was a large push towards more nuclear power from the GOP side, and guess which country exports the most nuclear power? Yep, France. Basically, during the campaign both sides were making the argument that the US should be more like France.

I do find some of the houses people live in to be a tad too small though, as simply going small doesn't mean you should relegate yourself to something even smaller than a one-bedroom apartment (unless you really like that size). A certain size is necessary if you want to eventually own pets or start a family for example. One design I particularly like are the "maisonettes" in Japan that are about 46 sq. metres (500 square feet), spread over two floors. They resemble brownstone houses in a way, except that the design isn't as nice (to be honest). In semi-rural Japan a place this size can be rented for only $500-$600 a month.

As for whether there is a real increase of people buying small houses as opposed to just a slight increase (you'll notice the article doesn't cite too many numbers supporting a real change to smaller houses), we'll just have to see. Perhaps fivethirtyeight.com would be willing to crunch some numbers for us.

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Iran election roundup, 29 May 2009

Fourteen days left.

The candidates:

Ahmadinejad (محمود احمدی نژاد, top left) - you all know him, he wants a second term
Rezaei (محسن رضایی, bottom left) - he's a former commander of the Revolutionary Guard, and even more of a hardliner than Ahmadinejad. His role will be to take hardliner votes away from those disappointed in Ahmadinejad.
Mousavi (میر حسین موسوی, top right) - the other main contender, he was endorsed by former president Khatami and has reformist tendencies. He was prime minister in the 1980s.
Karroubi (محدی کروبی, bottom right) - reformist, and also the only cleric running for office. Says he'll support Mousavi in the second ballot if there is a runoff. It's also possible that he might drop out earlier to support Mousavi.

Mousavi


A song made for the election by Mousavi supporters (even if you don't know Persian you can hear the Mir-Hossein Mousavi part repeated throughout)



Ahmadinejad
Rezaei
Karroubi

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Arnold Schwarzenegger speaking German / Schwarzenegger wenn er deutsch spricht

It's not very often you can find Arnold Schwarzenegger speaking his native German, as not only has he lived in the US for a long time, but he also governs a state there and thus rarely takes questions in German from the press. For fans or students of German though each video of him talking in German is pretty interesting, since it's always a bit of a trip to see the person you've only seen speaking English before suddenly chatting away in a completely different language, and to realize that oh yeah, that's the language he grew up speaking. Here are a few videos of him speaking German that I've found. Let me know where others can be found and I'll add them here.

A collection of interviews from the 80s (and maybe early 90s):



On a show in 1989 in Austria showing off his muscles:



As governor (only 24 seconds):



This one has the same interview in the first video but with subtitles, so even better. Arnold starts 20 seconds in.



Eight-minute documentary about his bodybuilding career with him speaking:

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ISS crew leaps from three to six

Finally!

Of course the Canadian press is concentrating almost entirely on the Canadian astronaut, whereas the Russian press is more measured (I think; I can't confirm that they all have this tone). As for the Belgian press...yep, more like the Canadian article. Perhaps others can confirm this but perhaps "Russian goes to space!" just doesn't pack that much excitement anymore.

Anyway, six on the station now, and that makes it easier to carry out some real science now. In addition to that there's the possibility of more interesting human interaction, which can sometimes draw a lot of attention. Maybe one crew member can offer the other prune juice for the first time. Or maybe they could play poker. Or maybe one can remark to another how his company's bonding rituals often involve a lot of talking, and dancing, and crying.

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Iran election roundup, 28 May 2009

Friday, May 29, 2009

Fifteen days left.

The candidates:

Ahmadinejad (محمود احمدی نژاد, top left) - you all know him, he wants a second term
Rezaei (محسن رضایی, bottom left) - he's a former commander of the Revolutionary Guard, and even more of a hardliner than Ahmadinejad. His role will be to take hardliner votes away from those disappointed in Ahmadinejad.
Mousavi (میر حسین موسوی, top right) - the other main contender, he was endorsed by former president Khatami and has reformist tendencies. He was prime minister in the 1980s.
Karroubi (محدی کروبی, bottom right) - reformist, and also the only cleric running for office. Says he'll support Mousavi in the second ballot if there is a runoff. It's also possible that he might drop out earlier to support Mousavi.

First of all, let's see if there's a change in Twitter traffic for the four. The number given here is the amount of time it takes for a search on the candidate's surname to fill up three pages of search results. Parenthesis shows the time from the day before.

Mousavi: 6 hours (9 hours)
Ahmadinejad: 8 hours (12 hours)
Karroubi: 9 hours (11 hours)
Rezaei: slightly over a day (no change)

So Twitter traffic for the first three is up, and no change for Rezaei.

There really isn't all that much news for the day aside from the bombing of the mosque in the east of the country, but that isn't strictly election-related either.


Mousavi

Karroubi
Rezaei
Ahmadinejad

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VB 10b discovered; planets even more common than previously thought


One unresolved issue for quite some time had been whether other stars could have planets, since until the 1990s the only example of a star with a planetary system had been our own, and without a larger sample size it would be impossible to know for sure whether other stars really had planets, or whether the majority of them were bereft of them and simply existed by themselves.

Fast-forward to 2009 and we know of over 300 extrasolar planets, but more than that, now we know that planets can exist around extremely lightweight stars as well (another link here). Thanks to this planet called VB 10b that has been discovered orbiting a star barely large enough to be called one - an M dwarf called VB 10. What's important about this though is that M dwarfs are the most common stars out there, making up over 75% of all main sequence stars, and now we're sure that even the smallest of these stars can have fairly large planets.

VB 10 is one-twelfth the mass of the Sun, and for comparison the famous red dwarf Gliese 581 (the one with all the super-Earth planets) is one-third the mass of the Sun, so this one is only a quarter the mass of even the red dwarf Gliese 581.

As for the planet itself, it's six times the mass of Jupiter, so one percent the mass of the star it orbits. Though it's located at about the same distance as Mercury (around this star that's already beyond the habitability zone) its high mass means that it has quite a bit of internal heating and thus isn't cold.

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German Siemens to build Transrapid line in Iran...or not


Yesterday there was a piece of news in German here that went something like this:

The German Transrapid will drive in Iran in the future. According to information from the ARD radio station in Istanbul the Munich Engineering Office, the Iranian Ministry for Traffic and Transportation and the Governor of Mashad have gone into an agreement for a high-speed line in Iran. The distance between the two is 860 kilometres and at the moment takes two days by bus and nine hours by conventional train, but with the Transrapid line it would take between 2.5 and 3 hours. Mashad is the home of a major Shiite shrine, one with 15 million pilgrims per year.

The contract says that the German side will invest 6.7 euros, which will be paid back by Iran over 20 to 30 years. The new Transrapid line will be the longest stretch of this high-speed railway, and will take five to six years to execute the project.
Great! Except that Thyssenkrupp and Siemens say they're unaware of any contract with Iran for the Transrapid. No idea what's really going on here but keep an eye on the search term Transrapid to see if things are a bit clearer in the next day or two.

In more certain Mashhad news though, the city will have a subway system soon, as it's due to start in 2009 or 2010.

Read more...

Mousavi supporters all decked out in green

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Fifteen days left until the election, and Mir-Hossein Mousavi seems to be taking the lead in the presidential campaign in Iran, though turnout is going to be what decides this election. He drew a crowd of 30,000 the other day, and the green his supporters wear is making for some pretty great campaign photos.

The text at the bottom of most of the pictures (اینجا ایران است، باور کنید) says "this is Iran, believe it!"


























Finally, here's what Mousavi himself looks like.

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Weird TED video on the future of English as an international language

Usually TED videos are extremely good, but this one pointed out yesterday on Auxlang strikes me as a bit odd / lazy. Take a look at the video:



Fads don't actually last that long, and English doesn't owe its success as a language due to this but rather due to geopolitical reasons. The idea of English as an international language has actually been around for quite some time, and it's easy to find examples of articles claiming this even in the early 20th century when French was still quite strong. China may still be taking in English as a fad, but in the rest of East Asia this stage has passed and a harder reality has set in: a certain knowledge of English is necessary to get ahead, but true fluency is hard to achieve, and life without fluent English is pretty comfortable as well.

One other thing to take note of is the fact that English textbooks and learning methods are a huge business, and it's in the interest of those that have written these books to market English as the key to a new international self and success in life. Covers for these textbooks almost always look the same:


There's nothing wrong with marketing English in this way; it's a business and it only makes sense to market one's product. But at the same time there's no reason to conclude that English is about to become the world's second language due to large participation at these events alone.

For some numbers on why English is not going to become the world's second language, see this post of mine from last year. The short answer (and this is the conclusion of the British Council as well) is that it will remain at the top for at least 50 years (no other language is even close to taking its place), but the final victory will still elude English, and other languages will continue to strengthen themselves and remain worth learning. The competitive advantage that a functional knowledge of English gives will vanish, and only by knowing another language in addition to this will one be able to stand out. A linguistic deadlock will emerge, and that's where IAL advocates may be able to make their case again, and hopefully be listened to this time.

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Iran election roundup, 27 May 2009

Sixteen days left.

The candidates:

Ahmadinejad (top left) - you all know him, he wants a second term
Rezaei (bottom left) - he's a former commander of the Revolutionary Guard, and even more of a hardliner than Ahmadinejad. His role will be to take hardliner votes away from those disappointed in Ahmadinejad.
Mousavi (top right) - the other main contender, he was endorsed by former president Khatami and has reformist tendencies. He was prime minister in the 1980s.
Karroubi (bottom right) - reformist, and also the only cleric running for office. Says he'll support Mousavi in the second ballot if there is a runoff. It's also possible that he might drop out earlier to support Mousavi.
First of all, some stats. Yesterday's post noted that internet users in Iran have grown to 23 million from 7.5 million last election, and mobile phone usage has naturally grown as well. According to this site, mobile phone ownership has increased from 40% in 2005 (last election) to 65% in 2007, so maybe around 75% right now.

We can also use Google Trends to gauge the online interest in each candidate. Here they are matched up against each other - note that this is for searches in Persian; the English names have been added by me.

You can see that Mousavi is well ahead of the others in terms of online interest, Ahmadinejad and Karroubi are nearly equal (and don't forget Ahmadinejad gets a lot of free publicity simply for being president), while Rezai is down there at the bottom.

Another way to gauge the online interest in the four candidates is to check their Twitter traffic. An easy way to do this is to check to see how long it takes each candidate to fill up x number of pages of search terms on Twitter. Let's see how long it takes each one to fill up three pages.

Mousavi: 9 hours
Ahmadinejad: 12 hours
Karroubi: 11 hours
Rezaei: slightly over a day

Mousavi

Ahmadinejad

Rezaei

  • Huffington Post - Rezaei open to talks with the West on Iran's nuclear program, calls Obama's election victory a significant change in American policy towards Iran, says Ahmadinejad's questioning of the Holocaust "not useful" for Iran's standing on the world stage
  • Rezaei explains policies for a youthful Iran

Karroubi

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International Space Station population to soar to six


Nice! A Soyuz blasted off today to carry the extra three astronauts to the station, and naturally each of these countries is excited about their own astronaut that will be joining the crew. Here's the article from CTV in Canada for example.

The presence of six people on the station at the same time will be interesting, as it may give us a few clues about how many people are needed to create the human interaction we find so fascinating. I've recently come to think that one of the main reasons the average person has little interest in space is because we don't know anything about the people up there, and the reason we don't know anything about the people up there is that there's so little interesting interaction between them.

It'll also be interesting to see how happy the three currently residing there will be by the new crew, since the isolation they have in space is complete and total, and the arrival of three people is like...well, I suppose it would be like doubling the size of your family.

Note though that six isn't the largest number of people on the station at any time - when the Space Shuttle arrives the number always swells for a while, but then was always followed by a change of the crew and then a return to a crew of three. Next month Endeavour will launch with a crew of seven to the station, so that will be thirteen people up there at the same time. With that mission we'll have:

Gennady,
Michael,
Koichi,
Frank,
Roman,
Robert,
Mark,
Douglas,
Christopher,
Julie,
David, and
Thomas - all up in the station at the same time.

Read more...

1887 magazine article concludes airplanes to be physically impossible

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Something to keep in mind when reading articles about how warp drive is impossible; let's not forget that in the late 19th century there was also a great divergence of opinion over whether flying machines were possible either. An article from a professor in Popular Science Monthly in 1887 confidently concludes that flying machines just can't exist.

THE PROBLEM OF A FLYING MACHINE. -- We must admit that a bird is an incomparable model of a flying machine. No machine that we may hope to devise, for the same weight of machine, fuel, and directing brain, is half so effective. An yet, this machine, thus perfected through infinite ages by a ruthless process of natural selection, reaches its limit of weight at about fifty pounds! I said, "weight of machine, fuel, and directing brain." Here is another prodigious advantage of the natural over the artificial machine. The flying animal is its own engineer, the flying machine must carry its engineer. The directing engineer in the former (the brain) is perhaps an ounce, in the latter it is one hundred and fifty pounds. The limit of the flying animal is fifty pounds. The smallest possible weight of a flying machine, with its necessary fuel and engineer, even without freight or passengers, could not be less than three or four hundred pounds.

Now, to complete the argument, put these three indisputable facts together: 1. There is a low limit of weight, certainly not much beyond fifty pounds, beyond which it is impossible for an animal to fly. Nature has reached this limit, and with her utmost effort has failed to pass it. 2. The animal machine is far more effective than any we may hope to make; therefore the limit of the weight of a successful flying machine can not be more than fifty pounds. 3. The weight of any machine constructed for flying, including fuel and engineer, can not be less than three or four hundred pounds. Is it not demonstrated that a true flying machine, self-raising, self-sustaining, self-propelling, is physically impossible? -- Prof. Joseph Le Conte, Popular Science Monthly.
Without a single example of a mechanical flying machine to contradict this it actually looks like a pretty solid argument at the time. The counter-argument could be made that eventually humans would find ways to become more efficient than animals, but at the time that would sound similar to the idea of FLT travel today - sure it may be theoretically possible, but when will we reach that level of sophistication, if ever?

This is not to say that any theory on new propulsion is therefore possible, but it's good to remember this example of some pretty impressive scientific minds having reached the conclusion that even simple mechanical flight was a sheer impossibility akin to perpetual motion. Those that have decided today that propulsions x, y or z are sheer impossibilities would be well served by taking a second look at their calculations to make sure that nothing has been left out in order to not become another Professor Joseph Le Conte.

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Quick geography tip: how to remember what Iran looks like

Some countries have a very distinctive shape that makes them extremely easy to remember. This one for example:

That's obviously Japan.

Australia looks like a leaping dolphin, so that's easy too. Iraq is a triangle, Turkey is a long rectangle, Italy looks like a boot. What about Iran though? Iran looks like this:


Doesn't look like anything, does it?

Not so fast: Iran does resemble something. A sleeping cat.

(image comes from here)

All you have to do is take that cat's hips and move them ever so slightly down so that his head is higher than them, and you have a spitting image of Iran.

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Astronaut Mike Massimino updates - adjusting again to Earth gravity after days in space


Mike Massimino is keeping up the interesting tweets with reports of what it feels like to be back on Earth again. These ones are especially good:

Something tells me he's going to appear on the Colbert Report soon.

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Iran election roundup, 26 May 2009

There are now only seventeen days left until election day in Iran and the main election campaign is well underway, so there's a lot to write about.

Quick intro to the four candidates:

Ahmadinejad (top left) - you all know him, he wants a second term
Rezaei (bottom left) - he's a former commander of the Revolutionary Guard, and even more of a hardliner than Ahmadinejad. His role will be to take hardliner votes away from those disappointed in Ahmadinejad.
Mousavi (top right) - the other main contender, he was endorsed by former president Khatami and has reformist tendencies. He was prime minister in the 1980s.
Karroubi (bottom right) - reformist, and also the only cleric running for office. Says he'll support Mousavi in the second ballot if there is a runoff. It's also possible that he might drop out earlier to support Mousavi.


The first big news was the restoration of Facebook a day after being blocked. Ahmadinejad was put on the defensive after it was blocked over whether he had a role in it; he denied that, and a day later (or two days?) Facebook was back up. Looks like a blunder, since it accomplished nothing except to rile up online supporters.

The last presidential election in Iran was 2005, when the online population was 7.5 million; this has now grown to 23 million.

This article also mentions the obvious, that an election in Iran could bring an end to the stalemate between it and the US. It makes sense that the Obama administration has been waiting on any major changes in policy towards Iran given that the election was only four months after that in the US, and not only could any sudden moves completely shake up the election, but a new president could suddenly cancel previous agreements. Better to wait and see.

Article on using the internet in the election

Mousavi

Iran's Michelle Obama - Mousavi's wife is apparently the first wife to campaign with her husband in Iran and she's been receiving quite a bit of press as a result.
Former interior minister predicts landslide for Mousavi
New York Times article on large Mousavi rally in Tabriz

Mousavi's first tv ad:



Ahmadinejad

Ahmadinejad wants to debate Obama at the UN
Iran: Senior cleric criticizes Ahmadinejad for “buying votes”
Mahdavi-Kani backs Ahmadinejad
Ahmadinejad rejects Western nuclear proposal

Rezaei

Rezaei says if elected his government would be able to stop Israel "in one strike"
(from a few days ago) Rezaei promises to pay housewives a salary if elected

Karroubi

Former vice-president prefers Karroubi's platform
Karroubi embodies liberal hopes in Iran

Read more...

Official talks between the delegations of Angola and East Timor


When you have talks between ministers from Angola and East Timor they're conducted in Portuguese, so that's what this article is about (though it's written in French). Here's what it says:

The official delegations of Angola and East Timor, led by their respective prime ministers, Antónia Paulo Kassoma and Xanama Gusmão, began Tuesday in the afternoon, with the talks aimed at strengthening cooperation between the two countries.

...

Arriving last Sunday for a working visit of six days, the Timorese chief executive left a wreath of flowers Tuesday at the monument of the former Angolan President Agostinho Neto in Independence Place in Luanda, before being received by President José Eduardo dos Santos.

According to the program, Xanana Gusmão, also the Minister of Defence of his country, will participate over the 27th and 28th of May in the 11th meeting of Defence Ministers of Portuguese Language Countries (CPLP).

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Nicolas Cage's The Weatherman is severely underrated

Tuesday, May 26, 2009


Every once in a while you'll find a movie on Rotten Tomatoes that is so far removed from the rating it has received it's not even funny. Before Sunrise for example has a 100% rating for example, and its sequel Before Sunset has almost the same, coming in at 94%. The problem with Before Sunset is best summed up in this review:

The experiences they talk about are like so many sound-bites; they haven't internalized the wisdom that the words suggest.
Because of that the characters come out flat, and the movie feels like little more than two characters being made to explain a few basic concepts on life and philosophy that those making the movie deemed to be important. This review is also right on target.

At the same time there are a number of extremely good movies that deserve a much better rating than they've received, and one of them is The Weather Man, a 2005 piece starring Nicolas Cage. The interesting thing about Nicolas Cage is that the bad movies he stars in are overrated and vice versa for the good movies he stars in, either through reviews or box office results ($37 million for Matchstick Men vs. $173 million for National Treasure). The Weather Man got even less than Matchstick Men with $12 million, which is a shame as it is one of the best movies put out that year.

The problem with the people that reviewed the film is that strangely enough they seemed to find it depressing. Comments like "I'm pretty sure it doesn't get more depressing than this", "A bleak, messy midlife crisis drama as unsure of itself as a weather forecast", "As much fun as standing outside in a blizzard for two hours without a coat", and so on. Very puzzling.

This reminds me a bit of this speech by Neil DeGrasse Tyson on the immensity of the cosmos and how the realization of this makes some people feel depressed (!), while those who truly understand what the cosmos is feel the opposite way - they feel large, part of something much bigger and much older than themselves, the end result of billions and billions of years of creation. If that doesn't make you feel large then I don't know what will.

The other quote it reminds me of is this one by Anthony DeMello:
You've got to drop something. You've got to drop illusions. You don't have to add anything in order to be happy; you've got to drop something. Life is easy, life is delightful. It's only hard on your illusions, your ambitions, your greed, your cravings.
So that seems to be the reaction of those that found The Weather Man to be a depressing film. They were expecting a film where the main character ends up falling madly in love with a French girl on the train, everybody is healthy and cheery, an old man comes to teach the main character to use The Force, who knows. But what they got was a movie about dealing with life exactly the way it is with no holds barred, and perhaps this was a bit of a shock. I don't want to spoil the ending but suffice to say it leaves you with a really great sort of sublime feeling afterward.

Also don't pay any attention to those that say the character of David Spritz is an uninteresting, unlikable one. It's actually quite the opposite. The main character is played so well that you feel like you've known him for years instead of less than two hours - as this review puts it, even his name tells you something important about what sort of person he is.

The other reason for the low reviews may have been the audacity of a director who made Pirates of the Caribbean attempting to make something this meaningful afterwards. As this review puts it:
Artistically, this may be Gore Verbinski's best film -- certainly it's his most ambitious and daring. And that in itself works against it in a twisted way with many film snobs crying out, "How dare this commercial filmmaker presume to tackle something weighty?" After this, they conclude that it's not weighty at all, thereby proving the wisdom of their ire over the very idea that the man who made Pirates of the Caribbean should so overstep his bounds. Personally, I'm reasonably convinced that this same film could have been signed by Alexander Payne and it would be proclaimed a masterpiece. (I am less convinced that Payne could have made a movie this good, but that's a separate issue.)
Due to the lack of commercial success for the film it's very likely that many of those reading this post will have never even heard about the film. If that's you then know that you're missing out. Not everyone seems to get the movie but those that do swear by it, and so do I. The best way to sum up the movie would be this comment from the first page on its Rotten Tomatoes page: There is, after the cloud cover burns off, a tantalizing sense of vitality and life.

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